Arguments
Every argument our agent sent, across all saved runs: what it cited, what the arena answered, and how the supplier's price moved in the reply. The arena checks at most 3 arguments per message. Verified only means the figure is true; whether it moves the price is up to the supplier. Duplicate means the ID was already used in this case, so the argument was wasted.
579 arguments in 152 runs · synced Sat, 24 Oct 2026, 20:03 UTC
Agent version45 arguments
| Argument | Sent | Verdicts | Price move in reply | Cases |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delivery record | 9 | 9 verified | −4.2 % | 8 |
| Volume change | 8 | 8 verified | −4.1 % | 8 |
| Rival quote | 8 | 8 verified | −3.6 % | 1 |
| Index change | 7 | 7 verified | −7.7 % | 5 |
| price_history | 7 | 7 verified | −1.1 % | 7 |
| Should-cost | 4 | 4 verified | −6.4 % | 4 |
| Notice period | 1 | 1 verified | −3.3 % | 1 |
| Quality record | 1 | 1 verified | −2.1 % | 1 |
Click a row to list only that argument. The price move belongs to the whole message and to everything else in the supplier's reasoning, not to one argument: read it as a hint, not a measured effect.
| Case · round | To | Argument | Cited | Verdict | Their price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P01 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Gießerei Brandlhuber GmbH & Co. KG | Index change change pct -6.1 | verified | 138.55 → 134.00 −3.3 % | |
| P01 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Gießerei Brandlhuber GmbH & Co. KG | Should-cost unit cost 132.64 | verified | 138.55 → 134.00 −3.3 % | |
| P01 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Gießerei Brandlhuber GmbH & Co. KG | Notice period days 51 | verified | 138.55 → 134.00 −3.3 % | |
| P01 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Gießerei Brandlhuber GmbH & Co. KG | Delivery record otd pct 85.2 | verified | 134.00 → 131.20 −2.1 % | |
| P02 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Antriebstechnik Nordmark AG | price_history prices 348.32,348.32,348.32 | po:4500014350-20po:4500014413-10po:4500014474-10 | verified | 370.96 → 361.82 −2.5 % |
| P02 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Antriebstechnik Nordmark AG | Volume change change pct 11.9 | verified | 370.96 → 361.82 −2.5 % | |
| P03 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Selvbrunn Drive Systems GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 84.6 | verified | 438.21 → 432.15 −1.4 % | |
| P03 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Selvbrunn Drive Systems GmbH | Volume change change pct 10.3 | verified | 438.21 → 432.15 −1.4 % | |
| P03 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Selvbrunn Drive Systems GmbH | Should-cost unit cost 403.21 | verified | 438.21 → 432.15 −1.4 % | |
| P03 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Selvbrunn Drive Systems GmbH | price_history prices 412.74,412.74,412.74 | po:4500014351-10po:4500014417-10po:4500014465-10 | verified | 432.15 → 432.15 0.0 % |
| P04 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Wälzlager-Zentrum Süd GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 85 | verified | 4.96 → 4.94 −0.4 % | |
| P04 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Wälzlager-Zentrum Süd GmbH | price_history prices 4.39,4.39,4.39 | po:4500014329-10po:4500014389-10po:4500014467-10 | verified | 4.96 → 4.94 −0.4 % |
| P04 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Wälzlager-Zentrum Süd GmbH | Volume change change pct 4.2 | verified | 4.96 → 4.94 −0.4 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Zerspanung Dralveck GmbH | Index change change pct -2.3 | verified | 36.00 → 32.00 −11.1 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Zerspanung Dralveck GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 80.8 | verified | 36.00 → 32.00 −11.1 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Strojírna Hrvelec s.r.o. | Index change change pct -5.5 | verified | 31.50 → 32.50 +3.2 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Strojírna Hrvelec s.r.o. | Rival quote unit price 32 | offer:70210-1 | verified | 31.50 → 32.50 +3.2 % |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Strojírna Hrvelec s.r.o. | Delivery record otd pct 62.5 | verified | 31.50 → 32.50 +3.2 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Drehteile Fuchsreiter GmbH | Index change change pct -6.1 | verified | 38.50 → 31.00 −19.5 % | |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Drehteile Fuchsreiter GmbH | Rival quote unit price 32 | offer:70210-1 | verified | 38.50 → 31.00 −19.5 % |
| P05 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Drehteile Fuchsreiter GmbH | Should-cost unit cost 36.87 | verified | 38.50 → 31.00 −19.5 % | |
| P05 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Zerspanung Dralveck GmbH | Rival quote unit price 31 | offer:70250-1 | verified | 32.00 → 30.50 −4.7 % |
| P05 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Strojírna Hrvelec s.r.o. | Rival quote unit price 30.5 | offer:70210-2 | verified | 32.50 → 32.00 −1.5 % |
| P05 · R3 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Zerspanung Dralveck GmbH | Rival quote unit price 30 | offer:70250-2 | verified | 30.50 → 29.50 −3.3 % |
| P05 · R3 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Strojírna Hrvelec s.r.o. | Rival quote unit price 29.5 | offer:70210-3 | verified | 32.00 → 31.50 −1.6 % |
| P05 · R3 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Drehteile Fuchsreiter GmbH | Rival quote unit price 29.5 | offer:70210-3 | verified | 30.00 → 29.61 −1.3 % |
| P05 · R4 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Drehteile Fuchsreiter GmbH | Rival quote unit price 29 | offer:70210-4 | verified | 29.61 → 29.61 0.0 % |
| P07 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Schraubenhandel Leitner & Sohn GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 88.6 | verified | 5.74 → 5.56 −3.1 % | |
| P07 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Schraubenhandel Leitner & Sohn GmbH | Volume change change pct 6 | verified | 5.74 → 5.56 −3.1 % | |
| P08 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH | Index change change pct -5.5 | verified | 6.05 → 5.45 −9.9 % | |
| P08 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 88 | verified | 6.05 → 5.45 −9.9 % | |
| P08 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH | Volume change change pct 1.9 | verified | 6.05 → 5.45 −9.9 % | |
| P08 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH | price_history prices 5.45,5.45,5.45 | po:4500014305-10po:4500014391-10po:4500014455-10 | verified | 5.45 → 5.40 −0.9 % |
| P10 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Dichtungswerk Ravensteiner GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 79.5 | verified | 32.20 → 31.70 −1.6 % | |
| P10 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Dichtungswerk Ravensteiner GmbH | Volume change change pct 10.1 | verified | 32.20 → 31.70 −1.6 % | |
| P10 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Dichtungswerk Ravensteiner GmbH | Should-cost unit cost 24.31 | verified | 32.20 → 31.70 −1.6 % | |
| P10 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Dichtungswerk Ravensteiner GmbH | price_history prices 29.89,29.89,29.89 | po:4500014337-10po:4500014383-10po:4500014436-10 | verified | 31.70 → 31.50 −0.6 % |
| P11 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Odlewnia Kalwisz Sp. z o.o. | Index change change pct -6.1 | verified | 47.00 → 46.00 −2.1 % | |
| P11 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Odlewnia Kalwisz Sp. z o.o. | Quality record ppm 2,376 | verified | 47.00 → 46.00 −2.1 % | |
| P11 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Odlewnia Kalwisz Sp. z o.o. | Volume change change pct 20 | verified | 47.00 → 46.00 −2.1 % | |
| P11 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Odlewnia Kalwisz Sp. z o.o. | price_history prices 45.15,45.15,45.15 | po:4500014306-10po:4500014373-10po:4500014429-10 | verified | 46.00 → 45.50 −1.1 % |
| P18 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH | Index change change pct -5.5 | verified | 6.10 → 5.40 −11.5 % | |
| P18 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH | Delivery record otd pct 81 | verified | 6.10 → 5.40 −11.5 % | |
| P18 · R1 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH | Volume change change pct 1.9 | verified | 6.10 → 5.40 −11.5 % | |
| P18 · R2 engine v1.9 (defaults) | Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH | price_history prices 5.84,5.84,5.84 | po:4500014292-10po:4500014355-10po:4500014427-10 | verified | 5.40 → 5.30 −1.9 % |
How each argument is checked (brief/api.md)
| Argument | You cite | Checked against |
|---|---|---|
| index_change | 2 × idx:, one series, ≤ 12 months apart, ending in the last 12 months of the data | the % change, ±0.5 pp |
| rival_offer | a quote: of this case, or another supplier's offer: in this session | its price (reveals it to that supplier) |
| delivery_record / quality_record | sc: rows (quality also qn:) | mean on-time % / mean ppm |
| should_cost | cost: | the unit cost estimate |
| volume_change | fc: | the forecast change % |
| notice_period | a letter doc: + the contract ctr: | days of notice given vs agreed |
Tolerance ±0.5 percentage points for %, else ±0.5 %. Unknown ID or wrong figure: contradicted, which costs trust. Each ID counts once per case, except a rival's quote, which counts once per supplier.