Round bar 1.4404 dia 30 mm, peeled

part:370010raw material· ABC A· demand and sourcing· price and cost →

Forecast, next 12 months

118,500

kg · snapshot 2026-09

Called off, last 12 months

116,340

by requested month

Change

+1.9 %

fc:370010@2026-09

Open orders

5,500

kg, due after the data date

Sources

2 active

0 qualified

Price today

€5.45

What the data says

Our forecast for the next 12 months (118,500 kg) is +1.9 % above what we called off in the last 12 months (116,340) fc:370010@2026-09. More volume is worth something to the supplier: our agent cites this as its volume argument.
Latest RFQ rfq:6000000218 (2026-09-05, Second-source benchmark): Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH quoted €6.31 quote:7200018, +15.8 % against today's €5.45: the alternative is dearer, so it gives us no leverage on price.
P08: the coverage trap. Covering less than 94,800 kg a year for 2 years costs up to €41,864 more than buying at today's price (94,800 a year for 12 months); full coverage (94,800 for 24 months) avoids it. A lower price only wins if it saves more than that.
P18: the coverage trap. Covering less than 23,700 kg a year for 2 years costs up to €11,231 more than buying at today's price (23,700 a year for 12 months); full coverage (23,700 for 24 months) avoids it. A lower price only wins if it saves more than that.

Demand

What we ordered per month (by requested date) for the last 24 months, and the latest forecast for the next 12. The case's need per year is usually the latest forecast.

Called off (by requested month)Latest forecast

Forecast	Next 12 months	Called off, prior 12 months	Change	Citable
fc:370010@2026-09	118,500	116,340	+1.9 %	yes
fc:370010@2026-06	122,600	117,940	+4.0 %	yes
fc:370010@2026-03	123,200	116,240	+6.0 %	yes
fc:370010@2025-12	121,000	114,820	+5.4 %	yes
fc:370010@2025-09	116,100	114,760	+1.2 %	yes
fc:370010@2025-06	116,300	115,920	+0.3 %	yes
fc:370010@2025-03	123,800	117,440	+5.4 %	yes
fc:370010@2024-12	117,000	117,460	−0.4 %	yes
fc:370010@2024-09	116,100	111,860	+3.8 %	yes
fc:370010@2024-06	119,000	84,600	—	no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete
fc:370010@2024-03	124,200	53,000	—	no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete
fc:370010@2023-12	117,100	23,580	—	no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete

Forecasts are shared with suppliers. The arena checks an fc: claim against the change in the last column (±0.5 percentage points).

Coverage

The brief's formula: years = min(contract months ÷ 12, horizon); covered = min(volume, need) × years; uncovered = need × horizon − covered, bought at fallback × (1 + risk).

P08 Alloy surcharge and base price for 1.4404 bar

Need 94,800 kg a year over 2 years = 189,600. Whatever the deal does not cover is bought later at the fallback price €5.72 + 3 % risk = €5.89 (today: €5.45). Each cell: units left uncovered, and what they cost on top of buying them at today's price.

Volume a year (fixed)	12 months	24 months	36 months
94,800 kg = need	+€41,864 94,800 uncovered	✓ covered	✓ covered

P18 Alloy surcharge and base price for 1.4404 bar (Werdenfels)

Need 23,700 kg a year over 2 years = 47,400. Whatever the deal does not cover is bought later at the fallback price €6.13 + 3 % risk = €6.31 (today: €5.84). Each cell: units left uncovered, and what they cost on top of buying them at today's price.

Volume a year (fixed)	12 months	24 months	36 months
23,700 kg = need	+€11,231 23,700 uncovered	✓ covered	✓ covered

Source list

Approved suppliers for this part, their quota and who owns the tooling.

Supplier	Status	Quota	Approved since	Tooling
`sup:70710` Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH DE	active	80 %	2017-07-01	n/a
`sup:70740` Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH DE	active	20 %	2021-01-01	n/a

RFQs and quotes

Every request for quotation for this part, newest first, quotes cheapest first. A past quote is context; it is a checkable claim only in a case that cites it (its refs or its alternative).

rfq:6000000218Second-source benchmark2026-09-05 · 23,700 kg a year · quoted

Quote	Supplier	Price	vs today	Lead · Incoterm · payment	Notes
quote:7200018 cited in P18, P18	Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH DE	€6.31	+15.8 %	10 d · DAP · 30 d

rfq:6000000208Second-source benchmark2026-08-26 · 94,800 kg a year · quoted

Quote	Supplier	Price	vs today	Lead · Incoterm · payment	Notes
quote:7200008 cited in P08, P08	Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH DE	€6.06	+11.2 %	14 d · DAP · 30 d

rfq:6000000131Periodic benchmark2025-05-18 · 118,000 kg a year · awarded

Quote	Supplier	Price	vs today	Lead · Incoterm · payment	Notes
quote:7100064	Edelstahl-Service Donautal GmbH DEawarded	€5.34	−2.0 %	12 d · DAP · 30 d
quote:7100065	Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH DE	€5.41	−0.7 %	14 d · DAP · 30 d