Bearing bracket HN
part:310020castings· ABC A· demand and sourcing· price and cost →
What the data says
- Our forecast for the next 12 months (15,930 pc) is +20.0 % above what we called off in the last 12 months (13,280)
fc:310020@2026-09. More volume is worth something to the supplier: our agent cites this as its volume argument. - Qualified second source: Gießerei Pfaffenreuth GmbH (quota 0 %). A real alternative if its price is right.
- Latest RFQ
rfq:6000000211(2026-08-29, Second-source benchmark): Gießerei Pfaffenreuth GmbH quoted €53.56quote:7200011, +18.6 % against today's €45.15: the alternative is dearer, so it gives us no leverage on price.
Demand
What we ordered per month (by requested date) for the last 24 months, and the latest forecast for the next 12. The case's need per year is usually the latest forecast.
| Forecast | Next 12 months | Called off, prior 12 months | Change | Citable |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| fc:310020@2026-09 | 15,930 | 13,280 | +20.0 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2026-06 | 14,990 | 13,400 | +11.9 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2026-03 | 14,730 | 13,160 | +11.9 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2025-12 | 14,670 | 12,980 | +13.0 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2025-09 | 14,560 | 12,660 | +15.0 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2025-06 | 14,740 | 12,500 | +17.9 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2025-03 | 13,660 | 12,480 | +9.5 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2024-12 | 14,190 | 12,580 | +12.8 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2024-09 | 13,260 | 10,420 | +27.3 % | yes |
| fc:310020@2024-06 | 13,590 | 7,500 | — | no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete |
| fc:310020@2024-03 | 13,360 | 4,120 | — | no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete |
| fc:310020@2023-12 | 14,120 | 720 | — | no: order history starts 2023-10, so the prior 12 months are incomplete |
Forecasts are shared with suppliers. The arena checks an fc: claim against the change in the last column (±0.5 percentage points).
Coverage
The brief's formula: years = min(contract months ÷ 12, horizon); covered = min(volume, need) × years; uncovered = need × horizon − covered, bought at fallback × (1 + risk).
Need 15,900 pc a year over 1 year = 15,900. Whatever the deal does not cover is bought later at the fallback price €47.86 + 8 % risk = €51.69 (today: €45.15). Each cell: units left uncovered, and what they cost on top of buying them at today's price.
| Volume a year (fixed) | 12 months (fixed) |
|---|---|
| 15,900 pc = need | ✓ covered |
Source list
Approved suppliers for this part, their quota and who owns the tooling.
RFQs and quotes
Every request for quotation for this part, newest first, quotes cheapest first. A past quote is context; it is a checkable claim only in a case that cites it (its refs or its alternative).
| Quote | Supplier | Price | vs today | Lead · Incoterm · payment | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| quote:7200011 cited in P11, P11 | Gießerei Pfaffenreuth GmbH DE | €53.56 | +18.6 % | 42 d · FCA · 30 d |
| Quote | Supplier | Price | vs today | Lead · Incoterm · payment | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| quote:7100007 | Odlewnia Kalwisz Sp. z o.o. PLawarded | €49.20 | +9.0 % | 64 d · FCA · 60 d | |
| quote:7100008 | Gießerei Pfaffenreuth GmbH DE | €57.40 | +27.1 % | 44 d · FCA · 30 d |