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Deal anatomy · P10 Ravensteiner cuts the seal allocation

engine v1.5 · session b3356662f836bf60 · goal Secure supply

Accepted offer:70410-2 from sup:70410 Dichtungswerk Ravensteiner GmbH.

The score

brief/api.md: score = clip((C_open − C_deal) ÷ (C_open − C_best), 0, 1). C is total cost over the contract horizon.

(€1,932,492 − €1,518,252) ÷ (€1,932,492 − €1,328,927) = 69

Opening offer €1,932,492 · best possible €1,328,927 · our alternative none (no deal scores 0). Each euro of C saved is worth 0.0002 points.

Where the deal's total cost comes from

Each term recomputed from the case file and the closing terms, the way the kit's cost.py does, and checked against the arena's breakdown for this run.

TermThis deal, worked out€Arena
Price
units before the new price × current price + (committed − those units) × unit price
46,800 units × €31.40 = €1,469,520€1,469,520✓
Uncovered need
(need × horizon − covered) × fallback price; covered = min(volume, need) × years
(46,800 − 46,800) × €37.36 = €0€0✓
Fallback risk
uncovered need × fallback risk %
€0 × 25 % = €0€0✓
Payment terms
spend × our interest rate × (reference payment days − payment days) ÷ 360
€1,469,520 × 8 % × (60 − 30) ÷ 360 = €9,797€9,797✓
Freight
committed units × freight per unit for the Incoterm
46,800 × €0.00 (DAP) = €0€0✓
Late delivery
late cost per day × max(0, lead time − lead time we need)
€2,400.00 × max(0, 56 − 42) = €33,600€33,600✓
Quality
committed × ppm ÷ 1,000,000 × (cost per defect − chargeback)
46,800 × 300 ÷ 1,000,000 × (€380.00 − €0.00) = €5,335€5,335✓
Tooling
tooling paid once
€0€0✓
Index clause
spend at the new price × material share × max(0, |expected move| − deadband) × sign
no index clause = €0€0✓
Index risk
spend at the new price × material share × index risk %
no index clause = €0€0✓
Supplier health
€ per margin point × soft(sustainable margin − supplier margin) × years (stabilise and secure-supply only)
€0: the deal leaves the supplier a sustainable margin€0✓
C of the dealsum of the terms€1,518,252€1,518,252

Horizon covered: 2 years · committed 46,800 units · covered 46,800 of 46,800 needed.

The closing terms and where each came from

A deal closes on our accepted sheet for the negotiable fields, the case's fixed terms, and the supplier's standard terms (its quote PDF) for anything left out.

Payment terms30 daysfixed by the case
Lead time56 daysnegotiated
Volume / year23,400 pcnegotiated
Contract length24 monthsnegotiated
Effective from2027-01-01fixed by the case
Index clausenonefixed by the case
IncotermDAPfixed by the case
Tooling€0.00fixed by the case
Defect commitment300 ppmsupplier's standard terms
Chargeback / complaint€0.00supplier's standard terms
Unit price€31.40negotiated

What each lever was worth

Total cost C with one negotiable term set to each allowed option and everything else as closed (supplier-health charge held). This shows the buyer's side only: the supplier prices each option too.

Volume / year
16,379 pc€1,728,554+€210,302
19,890 pc€1,623,388+€105,136
23,400 pcdeal€1,518,252—★
Contract length
12 months€1,868,706+€350,454
24 monthsdeal€1,518,252—★
36 months€1,518,252—★
Lead time
35 days€1,484,652−€33,600★
42 days€1,484,652−€33,600★
56 daysdeal€1,518,252—

★ cheapest for us at the deal's price. Whether the supplier accepts it at that price is the negotiation.