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Deal anatomy · P18 Alloy surcharge and base price for 1.4404 bar (Werdenfels)

engine v1.1 · session 693138064a4010d1 · goal Leverage

Accepted offer:70740-3 from sup:70740 Blankstahl Werdenfels GmbH.

The score

brief/api.md: score = clip((C_open − C_deal) ÷ (C_open − C_best), 0, 1). C is total cost over the contract horizon.

(€295,173 − €257,459) ÷ (€295,173 − €222,651) = 52

Opening offer €295,173 · best possible €222,651 · our alternative €301,088. Each euro of C saved is worth 0.0014 points.

Where the deal's total cost comes from

Each term recomputed from the case file and the closing terms, the way the kit's cost.py does, and checked against the arena's breakdown for this run.

TermThis deal, worked out€Arena
Price
units before the new price × current price + (committed − those units) × unit price
47,400 units × €5.30 = €251,220€251,220✓
Uncovered need
(need × horizon − covered) × fallback price; covered = min(volume, need) × years
(47,400 − 47,400) × €6.13 = €0€0✓
Fallback risk
uncovered need × fallback risk %
€0 × 3 % = €0€0✓
Payment terms
spend × our interest rate × (reference payment days − payment days) ÷ 360
€251,220 × 8 % × (60 − 90) ÷ 360 = -€1,675-€1,675✓
Freight
committed units × freight per unit for the Incoterm
47,400 × €0.00 (DAP) = €0€0✓
Late delivery
late cost per day × max(0, lead time − lead time we need)
€96.00 × max(0, 14 − 14) = €0€0✓
Quality
committed × ppm ÷ 1,000,000 × (cost per defect − chargeback)
47,400 × 70 ÷ 1,000,000 × (€0.00 − €0.00) = €0€0✓
Tooling
tooling paid once
€0€0✓
Index clause
spend at the new price × material share × max(0, |expected move| − deadband) × sign
€251,220 × 0.45 × max(0, 6.0 % − 0 %) = €6,783€6,783✓
Index risk
spend at the new price × material share × index risk %
€251,220 × 0.45 × 1 % = €1,130€1,130✓
Supplier health
€ per margin point × soft(sustainable margin − supplier margin) × years (stabilise and secure-supply only)
€0: only charged in stabilise and secure-supply cases€0✓
C of the dealsum of the terms€257,459€257,459

Horizon covered: 2 years · committed 47,400 units · covered 47,400 of 47,400 needed.

The closing terms and where each came from

A deal closes on our accepted sheet for the negotiable fields, the case's fixed terms, and the supplier's standard terms (its quote PDF) for anything left out.

Payment terms90 daysnegotiated
Lead time14 daysfixed by the case
Volume / year23,700 pcfixed by the case
Contract length24 monthsnegotiated
Effective from2027-01-01fixed by the case
Index clauseAS-14404 · 45 % material · ±0 % deadband · base 2026-08negotiated
IncotermDAPfixed by the case
Tooling€0.00fixed by the case
Defect commitment70 ppmsupplier's standard terms
Chargeback / complaint€0.00supplier's standard terms
Unit price€5.30negotiated

What each lever was worth

Total cost C with one negotiable term set to each allowed option and everything else as closed (supplier-health charge held). This shows the buyer's side only: the supplier prices each option too.

Index clause
none€249,545−€7,913★
AS-14404 · 45 % material · ±0 % deadband · base 2026-08deal€257,459—
AS-14404 · 45 % material · ±3 % deadband · base 2026-08€254,067−€3,391
AS-14404 · 45 % material · ±5 % deadband · base 2026-08€251,806−€5,652
Payment terms
14 days€261,701+€4,243
30 days€260,808+€3,350
45 days€259,971+€2,512
60 days€259,133+€1,675
90 daysdeal€257,459—★
Contract length
12 months€278,369+€20,910
24 monthsdeal€257,459—★
36 months€257,459—★

★ cheapest for us at the deal's price. Whether the supplier accepts it at that price is the negotiation.