Back to the replay

Deal anatomy · P04 Renewal of the ball bearing 6306 agreement

engine v1.1 · session 2956c48e2673442e · goal Routine

Accepted offer:70620-3 from sup:70620 Wälzlager-Zentrum Süd GmbH.

The score

brief/api.md: score = clip((C_open − C_deal) ÷ (C_open − C_best), 0, 1). C is total cost over the contract horizon.

(€198,846 − €198,716) ÷ (€198,846 − €196,529) = 6

Opening offer €198,846 · best possible €196,529 · our alternative €203,169. Each euro of C saved is worth 0.0432 points.

Where the deal's total cost comes from

Each term recomputed from the case file and the closing terms, the way the kit's cost.py does, and checked against the arena's breakdown for this run.

TermThis deal, worked out€Arena
Price
units before the new price × current price + (committed − those units) × unit price
20,000 units × €5.02 = €100,400€100,400✓
Uncovered need
(need × horizon − covered) × fallback price; covered = min(volume, need) × years
(40,000 − 20,000) × €4.70 = €94,000€94,000✓
Fallback risk
uncovered need × fallback risk %
€94,000 × 5 % = €4,700€4,700✓
Payment terms
spend × our interest rate × (reference payment days − payment days) ÷ 360
€100,400 × 8 % × (60 − 90) ÷ 360 = -€669-€669✓
Freight
committed units × freight per unit for the Incoterm
20,000 × €0.00 (DAP) = €0€0✓
Late delivery
late cost per day × max(0, lead time − lead time we need)
€75.00 × max(0, 7 − 7) = €0€0✓
Quality
committed × ppm ÷ 1,000,000 × (cost per defect − chargeback)
20,000 × 150 ÷ 1,000,000 × (€95.00 − €0.00) = €285€285✓
Tooling
tooling paid once
€0€0✓
Index clause
spend at the new price × material share × max(0, |expected move| − deadband) × sign
no index clause = €0€0✓
Index risk
spend at the new price × material share × index risk %
no index clause = €0€0✓
Supplier health
€ per margin point × soft(sustainable margin − supplier margin) × years (stabilise and secure-supply only)
€0: only charged in stabilise and secure-supply cases€0✓
C of the dealsum of the terms€198,716€198,716

Horizon covered: 1 years · committed 20,000 units · covered 20,000 of 40,000 needed.

The closing terms and where each came from

A deal closes on our accepted sheet for the negotiable fields, the case's fixed terms, and the supplier's standard terms (its quote PDF) for anything left out.

Payment terms90 daysnegotiated
Lead time7 daysfixed by the case
Volume / year20,000 pcfixed by the case
Contract length12 monthsnegotiated
Effective from2027-01-01fixed by the case
Index clausenonefixed by the case
IncotermDAPfixed by the case
Tooling€0.00fixed by the case
Defect commitment150 ppmsupplier's standard terms
Chargeback / complaint€0.00supplier's standard terms
Unit price€5.02negotiated

What each lever was worth

Total cost C with one negotiable term set to each allowed option and everything else as closed (supplier-health charge held). This shows the buyer's side only: the supplier prices each option too.

Payment terms
14 days€200,411+€1,696
30 days€200,054+€1,339
45 days€199,720+€1,004
60 days€199,385+€669
90 daysdeal€198,716—★
Contract length
12 monthsdeal€198,716—★
24 months€200,031+€1,316
36 months€200,031+€1,316

★ cheapest for us at the deal's price. Whether the supplier accepts it at that price is the negotiation.